Anthropic’s 2028 AI Training Forecast Puts Governance, Not Just Capability, at the Center
Anthropic’s estimate that there is better than a 60% chance AI systems will autonomously train their successors by 2028 matters because it shifts recursive self-improvement from a speculative idea into a near-term planning problem for labs, companies, and governments. The important correction is that this is not yet a picture of runaway autonomy; today’s systems…